Download Ebook Living Without FearBy Ernest Holmes/ Willis Kinnear

Download Ebook Living Without FearBy Ernest Holmes/ Willis Kinnear

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Living Without FearBy Ernest Holmes/ Willis Kinnear

Download Ebook Living Without FearBy Ernest Holmes/ Willis Kinnear

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• Sales Rank: #8021452 in Books
• Published on: 1968
• Binding: Paperback

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Ebook Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

Ebook Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

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Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

Ebook Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

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With its understandable explanations of Monte Carlo and step-by-step instructions for Microsoft Excel, Lotus, and @Risk software, this text/software package offers both the instruction and the practice students need to begin solving complex business problems. It is designed for use as the primary learning tool in a short business simulation course (for advanced undergraduate and MBA students), or as a supplement to courses in investments, corporate finance, management science, marketing strategy, operations management, and actuarial science.

• Sales Rank: #587447 in Books
• Published on: 2000-11-03
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.28" h x .52" w x 7.44" l, .94 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 226 pages

Review
PREFACE 1. WHAT IS SIMULATION? Actual Applications of Simulation / What's Ahead? / Simulation Models Versus Analytic Models 2. RANDOM NUMBERS -- THE BUILDING BLOCKS OF SIMULATION PROBLEMS 3. USING SPREADSHEETS TO PERFORM SIMULATIONS Example 3.1: The Newsvendor Problem / Finding a Confidence Interval for Expected Profit / How Many Trials Do We Need? / Determination of the Optimal Order Quantity / Using Excel Data Tables to Repeat a Simulation / Performing the Newsvendor Simulation with the Excel Random Number Generator / Problems 4. AN INTRODUCTION TO @RISK Simulating the Newsvendor Example with @RISK / Explanation of Statistical Results / Conclusions 5. GENERATING NORMAL RANDOM VARIABLES Simulating Normal Demand with @RISK / Using the Graph Type Icons / Placing Target Values in the Statistics Output / Estimating the Mean and Standard Deviation of a Normal Distribution / Problems 6. APPLICATIONS OF SIMULATION TO CORPORATE FINANCIAL PLANNING Using the Triangular Distribution to Model Sales / Sensitivity Analysis with Tornado Graphs / Sensitivity Analysis with Scenarios / Alternative Modeling Strategies / Problems 7. SIMULATING A CASH BUDGET Example 7.1: Cash Budgeting / Problems 8. A SIMULATION APPROACH TO CAPACITY PLANNING Example 8.1: Wozac Capacity Example / Problems 9. SIMULATION AND BIDDING Uniform Random Variables / A Bidding Example / Problems 10. DEMING'S FUNNEL EXPERIMENT Simulating Rule 1 (Don't Touch That Funnel!) / Simulating Rule 2 / Comparison of Rules 1-4 / Lesson of the Funnel Experiment / Mathematical Explanation of the Funnel Experiment / Problems 11. THE TAGUCHI LOSS FUNCTIONS Using @RISK to Quantify Quality Loss / Problems 12. THE USE OF SIMULATION ON PROJECT MANAGEMENT The Widgetco Example / Estimating Probability Distribution of Projected Completion Time / Determining the Probability That an Activity is Critical / The Beta Distribution and Project Management / Problems 13. SIMULATING CRAPS (AND OTHER GAMES) Example 13.1: Simulating Craps / Confidence Interval for Winning at Craps / Problems 14. USING SIMULATION TO DETERMINE OPTIMAL MAINTENANCE POLICIES Example 14.1 / Problems 15. USING THE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION TO MODEL MACHINE LIFE Example 15.1: Simulating Equipment Replacement Decisions / Problems 16. SIMULATING STOCK PRICES AND OPTIONS Modeling the Price of a Stock / Estimating the Mean and Standard Deviation of Stock Returns from Historical Data / What Is an Option? / Pricing a Call Option / Example 16.1a: Pricing a European Call Option with @RISK / Analyzing a Portfolio of Investments / Example 16.1b: Simulating Portfolio Return / Problems 17. PRICING PATH-DEPENDENT AND EXOTIC OPTIONS Example 17.1: Pricing a Path Dependent Option / Problems 18. USING IMMUNIZATION TO MANAGE INTEREST RATE RISK Duration / Convexity / Immunization Against Interest Rate Risk / Example 18.1: Immunization Using Solver / Better Models for Interest Rate Risk / Problems 19. HEDGING WITH FUTURES Hedging with Futures: The Basics / Modeling Futures Risk with @RISK / Problems 20. MODELING MARKET SHARE Example 20.1a: Market Share Simulation / Is Advertising Worthwhile? / Example 20.1b: Advertising Effectiveness / To Coupon or Not to Coupon? / Example 20.1c: Should Coke Give Out Coupons? / Problems 21. GENERATING CORRELATED VARIABLES: DESIGNING A NEW PRODUCT Example 21.1 / Problems 22. SIMULATING SAMPLING PLANS WITH THE HYPERGEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION Example 22.1: Simulating a Sampling Plan / Problems 23. SIMULATING INVENTORY MODELS Example 23.1: Simulating a Periodic Review Inventory System / Problems 24. SIMULATING A SINGLE-SERVER QUEUING SYSTEM Example 24.1: Queuing Simulation in @RISK / Estimating the Operating Characteristics of a Queuing System / Problems

About the Author
Wayne L. Winston is Professor Emeritus of Decision Sciences at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and is now a Professor of Decision and Information Sciences at the Bauer College at the University of Houston. He has won more than 45 teaching awards, including the school-wide MBA award six times. His current interest is in showing how spreadsheet models can be used to solve business problems in all disciplines, particularly in finance, sports, and marketing. In addition to publishing more than 20 articles in leading journals, Dr. Winston has written such successful textbooks as OPERATIONS RESEARCH: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, SIMULATION MODELING WITH @RISK, DATA ANALYSIS FOR MANAGERS, SPREADSHEET MODELING AND APPLICATIONS, MATHLETICS, DATA ANALYSIS AND BUSINESS MODELING WITH EXCEL 2013, MARKETING ANALYTICS, and FINANCIAL MODELS USING SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION. He received his B.S. degree in mathematics from MIT and his Ph.D. in operations research from Yale.

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Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston PDF

Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston PDF

Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston PDF

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Free Ebook Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith

Free Ebook Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith

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Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith

Free Ebook Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith

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Once, Xhea’s wants were simple: enough to eat, safety in the underground, and the hit of bright payment to transform her gray-cast world into color. But in the aftermath of her rescue of the Radiant ghost Shai, she realizes the life she had known is gone forever.

In the two months since her fall from the City, Xhea has hidden in skyscraper Edren, sheltered and attempting to heal. But soon even she must face the troubling truth that she might never walk again. Shai, ever faithful, has stayed by her side—but the ghost’s very presence has sent untold fortunes into Edren’s coffers and dangerously unbalanced the Lower City’s political balance.

War is brewing. Beyond Edren’s walls, the other skyscrapers have heard tell of the Radiant ghost and the power she holds; rumors, too, speak of the girl who sees ghosts who might be the key to controlling that power. Soon, assassins stalk the skyscrapers’ darkened corridors while armies gather in the streets. But Shai’s magic is not the only prize—nor the only power that could change everything. At last, Xhea begins to learn of her strange dark magic, and why even whispers of its presence are enough to make the Lower City elite tremble in fear.

Together, Xhea and Shai may have the power to stop a war—or become a weapon great enough to bring the City to its knees. That is, if the magic doesn't destroy them first.

Skyhorse Publishing, under our Night Shade and Talos imprints, is proud to publish a broad range of titles for readers interested in science fiction (space opera, time travel, hard SF, alien invasion, near-future dystopia), fantasy (grimdark, sword and sorcery, contemporary urban fantasy, steampunk, alternative history), and horror (zombies, vampires, and the occult and supernatural), and much more. While not every title we publish becomes a New York Times bestseller, a national bestseller, or a Hugo or Nebula award-winner, we are committed to publishing quality books from a diverse group of authors.

• Sales Rank: #1510395 in Books
• Published on: 2015-05-12
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 8.90" h x 1.20" w x 6.00" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 400 pages

Review
"Impossible to put down! Sumner-Smith has outdone herself in this thrilling sequel with higher stakes, darker magic, and a bond of friendship that proves unbreakable--even in the face of war. Readers will be desperate for the conclusion!"
- Jessica Leake, author of Arcana

"In this inventive second Towers Trilogy fantasy (following Radiant), Sumner-Smith delves deeper into the dark, destructive magic that is making protagonist Xhea's life a living hell ... New readers will struggle to catch up, but returning fans will appreciate that Sumner-Smith has done a fine job of setting up the final good vs. evil, rich vs. poor magical showdown."
- Publishers Weekly

"Defiant is a compelling novel of character. Once I picked it up, I couldn't put it down again, to such a degree that I walked to the train station still reading. ... Tight, tense, and effortlessly readable, its climax is a thing of nail-biting intensity, and it ends with revelations, and more change to come. I can recommend it wholeheartedly--and I'm really looking forward to reading book three."
- Tor.com

About the Author
Karina Sumner-Smith is a Canadian author of fantasy, science fiction, and young adult. She is the author of Radiant: Towers Trilogy Book One. Her short fiction has appeared in The Living Dead 2, The Best Horror of the Year Volume Three, and Children of Magic, among others. Her short stories have been reprinted in a number of Best of the Year anthologies, nominated for the Nebula Award, and have been translated into Czech and Spanish. She lives in Ontario.

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Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith PDF

Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith PDF

Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith PDF

Defiant: Towers Trilogy Book TwoBy Karina Sumner-Smith PDF

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